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Maybe we've all seen some of the news. I don't really care about Batgirl or (haha) the House Party reboot with LeBron James. This isn't about any case-by-case production decisions. Rather, what's happening in the wake of the Warner Brothers & Discovery merger, vis a vis the recent impact that we're seeing on HBO programming, seems like one of those faraway flashes on the horizon that makes one intuitively understand that now would be a good time to run for cover. Or maybe it's just me. But what it looks like, specifically reading both quotes by and about new WB president David Zaslav, is that this major production platform is shutting down a ton of productions which are not "guaranteed" to make massive profits. I hear that they may even be moving to unscripted material, to shave costs from expensive talent like writers and professional actors. Basically what we've seen in television networks in the last few years - reality shows, game shows and reality game shows.
So what's new, asks the cynic? Well, HBO has long been venerated as the source for a lot of programming that is more quality, sophisticated, mature, and definitely in defiance of easy marketing. Although, yes, I have to acknowledge that post-Game of Thrones (arguably none of the above, but not the kind of material that anyone else would have considered a safe investment in 2011), there's been a vacuum that HBO has been unable to fill. But it's also very telling that Zaslov wants WB to move back to theatrical releases, at the expense of non-theatrical material that can prove profitable via streaming algorithms. It probably doesn't help that the exemplar of the latter business model, Netflix, is suffering a lull of their own, though I'd argue that much of this is due to their sever downsizing of their legacy catalogue. And 4 out of 5 of their originals are pretty awful, but on the other hand we have three Netflix productions at Venice right now - from George Miller, Andrew Dominik and Noah Baumbach - that I'm very happy to have and doubtful that any other studio would have completed.
Basically, everything about what I'm hearing about Zaslov screams catering to the lowest common denominator as the default creative compass. Clearly this won't bode well for any upcoming WB theatrical slate either. And more significantly, I think this will have a domino effect on the other studios and streaming services, the latter which were a hopeful promise in taking up the slack for mid and low-budget productions. I think that this is a potentially disaterous trend from those bean-counting eggheads whose business is not discerning qualitative differences in "content creation".
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I'm not a tax accountant, but it's still insane to me that it can be considered more profitable to not release a completed film and use it as a tax write-off instead of releasing it and having it do I would assume at least respectable numbers, given that it's a fucking Batman movie. Even one that underperforms I assume would make back its budget.
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Rock wrote:
I'm not a tax accountant, but it's still insane to me that it can be considered more profitable to not release a completed film and use it as a tax write-off instead of releasing it and having it do I would assume at least respectable numbers, given that it's a fucking Batman movie. Even one that underperforms I assume would make back its budget.
Part of the troubling part, for me, is the word (which is conflicting based on the source) that the film's quality did not factor into the decision. And that makes sense, considering, you know, the more liberal appraoch to quality that WB has given to (at least some of) their DC releases. It smacks of setting quite a profit throttle that suggests that any and all marketing risks are out the window. It's not just about Batgirl, it's about the floor for what they're willing to take a chance on, and it's looking pretty exclusive.
Last edited by Jinnistan (8/04/2022 11:01 pm)
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Maybe this is the full tilt towards creative Armageddon that finally gets people wondering if maybe they can look for more in what they watch. Maybe at some point even the lowest common denominator (well, maybe not the absolute lowest or most common) throw their hands up in the air and think they are worth more than this.
Probably not, but maybe this could be the opening for lower budget fair to start finding wider audiences, simply from desperation for something or anything that has been test marketed to shit before they can even get within sniffing distance of it.
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crumbsroom wrote:
Maybe this is the full tilt towards creative Armageddon that finally gets people wondering if maybe they can look for more in what they watch. Maybe at some point even the lowest common denominator (well, maybe not the absolute lowest or most common) throw their hands up in the air and think they are worth more than this.
Probably not, but maybe this could be the opening for lower budget fair to start finding wider audiences, simply from desperation for something or anything that has been test marketed to shit before they can even get within sniffing distance of it.
I'm hoping for a backfire, or maybe some slack taken up by Amazon or someone. There was a point made on the other place about Clint Eastwood, who WB has just broken a 50 year association, that Clint can easily find another studio to finance his films, which tend to be reasonable budgets with modest returns (exactly the kind of business Zaslov has shunned), and that's likely true for Clint Eastwood, but I'm more concerned about smaller, lesser known modest business filmmakers.
I hope that all of these (anonymous mostly) murmurings about Zaslov being reported is an indication that this schumck has few friends and is one flop away from getting shown the door. But unfortunately, as with all of the entertainment industries, they tend to be run by absolute monsters.
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Netflix is about to make good on that password–sharing crackdown:
"You may have less than 10 weeks left to let your mom, brother, or anyone else outside your home use your Netflix login for free"
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Then, Netflix came for them both...
Adam here covers multiple concerns for physical media collectors (not just decreased likelihood of new physical releases but also spiking prices of existing copies). Beyond that are plenty more concerns. Stating the obvious: Naturally it means we face the problem of being forced to pay over and over again to see anything, no matter how few or how many titles we watch in a given month, at increasingly higher subscription fees, and eventually with more and more ads. Not to mention those annoying endscreens obscuring the end credits, telling you what to watch next. It means we have to depend on a strong Internet connection, up–to date equipment, with up–to date firmware, and deal with all the inherent bugs.
And that raises a less–obvious risk of this scenario: being forced to make ourselves vulnerable to potential hacking, cyber–snooping, data–mining, malware, device takeovers, and other unpleasantness associated with becoming a permanent node in The Grid. Whether or not one worries about such things, we've at least still had the choice to opt out, dwindling though that alternative may be.
Then of course there's the concern about any streaming service's ability to change, edit, censor, "specialize," colorize, etc, without a moment's notice. To Macklunkey their content.
Or to just gump out a Taiwanese flag to appease the CCP.
Another concern is that Netflix streaming is grotesquely compressed, leading to excessive artifacts like blocking and color banding. It's another reason to own one's media, whether on a retail copy or on a digital hard drive, so it doesn't need to be compressed for streaming.
I could gripe on and on about Netflix's shitty interface, including but not limited to that clunky search feature and the fact that Netflix always wants to auto–play any title as soon as you try to examine it. But that's getting into the weeds of a larger issue, that being the massive takeover of a century's worth of national cultural heritage, the great risk it poses to writers, directors, actors, and everyone else in the industry on that long list of end credits, to the future of movie theaters, and more.
On the silver lining side of things, it might herald a new age of independent filmmaking. It could also lead to international film studios getting more of the spotlight.
One more thing it will likely herald: It's already being posited that streaming services have inadvertently brought back media piracy. If the ever–shrinking world of consolidation does lead to a war on physical media, we can reasonably expect media piracy to shift into overdrive.
Last edited by Rampop II (12/05/2025 9:18 pm)
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This story might be more relevant to the 'Missing Movie File' thread.
Most of what I've seen today about this are concerns from the industry regarding "theatrical exhibition", not so much whether or not but to what extent Netflix would narrow the window of theatrical releases (most Netflix releases will play in theaters only in LA and NYC for a couple of weeks - the minimum to qualify for Academy Awards) or whether many of the films (non-award worthy ones) will be released at all. That's obviously a huge concern. But what I haven't seen, yet, is the concern over the availability of physical media copies of the entire WB/HBO catalogue. I suspect, similar to what we've seen Disney do, is that as Netflix claims the exclusive streaming rights to this catalogue, physical copies of these movies/TV shows will rapidly dry up. We still don't know if this merger will pass regulatory muster, but it might be wise to start snatching any desired WB films on DVD/Bluray while they are still available.
I also want to point out that all of this is so completely unnecessary from a business point of view. All of these companies, when they're begging for mergers, like to act like they're on their last legs and desperately need these mergers in order to survive in the "new media paradigm", blah blah. WB has had multiple theatrical release this year with box offices above $100 million - Minecraft, Sinners, Superman, Weapons, One Battle After Another. Any and all losses by WB are directly due to the poor decision-making of their non-creative executives. Like CEO David Zaslov giving himself a $250 million bonus a couple of years back. Notably, Zaslov held a lavish Hollywood party at his mansion immediately following his announcement that he was putting WB on the auction block. These people don't give a shit about anything except cashing out their stocks.
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Jinnistan wrote:
...it might be wise to start snatching any desired WB films on DVD/Bluray while they are still available.
And good lord where to begin… Looney Tunes, The Wild Bunch, Woodstock, Billy Jack, lots of Kubrick movies, Blade Runner, Superman, Superman II…
...The Jazz Singer 😂
I’ll have to go through the entire catalog A to Z like I did with the Fox catalog, and I’m still nowhere close to checking everything off that list.
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Notably Warner Brothers already owns most or all of the libraries and/or distribution rights to: MGM, Orion, Geffen, Samuel Goldwyn, New Line, Cannon, United Artists, Time Life Films, Hanna-Barbera, Discovery Global (Discovery, TLC, Animal Planet, Cartoon Network, among others), and Turner Entertainment Co, along with many others.
Some of these were already previously acquired by others in the list (Turner already owned the MGM library pre-1982).
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There's hardly anyone to really root for here. Netflix's Ted Sarandos has been busy sucking up to Donald Trump for months in anticipation of this merger, hoping to soothe his FCC hammer. Meanwhile the Ellisons at Paramount, also Trump suck-ups, are trying a hostile buyout of WB, all while using Kushner's Saudi-raised funds to afford it. Allegedly, Larry Ellison has already been bragging about remaking CNN into a more MAGA-friendly outlet, similar to what Bari Weiss has done at CBS. Trump seems happy to sit back and court the suck for now. Either way, this consolidation is bad for the entire media ecosystem.
The only possible outcome worth rooting for would be if the WB shareholders fire David Zaslov and cancel the bid altogether. Again, it isn't as if WB/HBO is a struggling business that needs a bailout in the first place.